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    November 18

    ZZ一个有趣的签名档

    有一个和尚口衔树枝被半吊在空中,适逢一个要问路的过客。
    此时的和尚,若是开口答了,便要摔下;若是不去理睬,坐视不理愧为佛家。
    于是,禅问,若你是他,你怎么办?
    最后,禅说,你要想的,不是你现在要怎么办,你要想的,是你如何把自己逼到这样的境地之中。
    November 15

    Trading for a living

    "I can speak some English, but I do not know the soul of this country." Alax first arrived at US, quiting from Russia, a scaring country. He learnt psychology and trade at the same time.
     
    "I realized that the key to winning was inside my head and not inside a computer."
     
    "A successful trader should rise to a level where winning does not elate him and losing does not deflate him."
     
    Maybe I will comment on the trading systems. Some ideas differ from before and rise after reading it for more than three times.
     
    Triple screen system: the idea of which is similar to that of the filtration system, recommended in the high probability trading. I do not agree with its time framwork. Instead of weekly and daily, daily and intraday is likely accepted by human's logic. The idea is great, although hard to test.
     
    Parabolic system: a famous system talking about how to place stop loss order. The idea is so brilliant that it inducts a time decaying factor. The range of our endurance could decrease according to time. I doubt about it.
     
    Stop loss order placement is a art. The way leading the financial kingdom is tough and twisting.
    November 12

    Japanses Candlestick

    Hopefully, just finished reading it for twice. I hope I will never read it for the third time.
     
    Something newly attract me and force me to test:
    1)daily reverse pattern: hammer& hanging man& shooting star, my old fridends.
    2)new friends: morning star. easy to handle but still a lttile suspicious.
    3)new strangers: engulfing. do not know how to handle and big suspicious. anyway, find it interesting.
     
    Anyway, that is a great book I could not handle.
    November 11

    中国的本币升值zz

    看起来大家都很关注经济。不过不赞同本币升值的论调。29年的美国经济俨然已经成为了全球霸主,美元成为了世界通用的货币,可以从29年金融危机波及全世界看出。股市的膨胀导致资金融入,加速股市膨胀和美元升值。这是美国作为全球瞩目的经济增长点的结果。80年代日本的本币升值,很多人把他与现在的中国相比较,个人认为区别很大。日本本币升值的过程,与日本自身出口成品进口原材料的经济结构相关,鼓励投资,国内原材料,地产升值,大量外资融入。并且日本坚持很多年的低息政策,直到现在。可以说日本经济从繁荣到崩盘的根本原因是他的经济结构。个人以为,也说明了宏观调控,主要是升降息对于本币升值的调控作用十分有限。日本的大藏省,作为世界上最顶尖的经济监管部门之一,为无数后人所指责,监管不利。个人以为,他们对于当时的情况确实无能为力。一个开放社会,所谓的宏观调控能改变的,实在太有限了。
     
    目前的中国的情况,简单概括是在被经济掠夺。事实上越来越转型为开放社会的过程中,中国一直在被掠夺,只是现在尤为严重。不是说高速的经济增长之后必然结果,我完全没有看出必然的地方。人民币的升值,明眼人看出来主要是对美元的升值。美元对于原料出口国,加拿大,澳元的贬值速度不比人民币慢。只是这轮商品大牛市,导致原材料主要输出国货币升值的副产品而已。中国的股市和地产在膨胀,可是中国老百姓占有的资源比率不断下降。外资和国内的吵家选择了低点进入,价格不断上涨,老百姓越来越意识到买房和投资的股票的压力,为了应付物价的不断上涨,和住房的需求。中国不敢公布官方的cpi的计算方法,无耻的冠以经济学家名称的走狗们和政府一起,不断安抚国人顺从,以经济学权威的名义,不断告诉国人,我们现在处在幸福的阶段。不过我实在没有搞懂cpi不把地产计算在内的经济学依据。相信正常的地球人,都算不出今年中国cpi4.7的数据来。
     
    中国的原材料资源在被掠夺,企业,地产的所有权在被掠夺,巨大的美元储备的价值在被掠夺,当中国政府下决心把美元储备换成石油和黄金时,我们没有理由不相信商品大牛市的顶部将要出现,毫无疑问,无一例外的中国政府又一次发现他的金融策略站错了边,当然是老百姓需要为此买单。我们当然不会忘记中国政府的操盘手们,在粮食,期铜,外汇上的惨败。老百姓还需要充当为一个完全没有地产所有权的地产高位买单,为地球人都能看出来除了图形意义没有任何意义的股票高位买单。
     
    政府除了不断弱化国人的自主意识,降低国人的智商外,还赋予了国人神圣不可侵犯的买单者的地位。